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'False dawn' in UK housing market - RJA Properties: Lettings Agent Manchester
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20 May 2010

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Home information packs (Hips) will be consigned to history, the Government has announced.
17 Mar 2010

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Estate agents should be subject to the same levels of regulation as letting agents, it has been been stated.
22 Jan 2010

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Thousands of Britons with holiday and retirement homes in northern Cyprus face eviction after the Court of Appeal upheld a decision that a British couple must surrender disputed land.

'False dawn' in UK housing market


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An economics forecasting group has said that the recent rise in UK house prices is a "false dawn".


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The Ernst & Young Item Club also says that property values will not return to their 2007 peak for at least another five years.

It says "a small number of cash-rich buyers have supported prices".

"The supply of these funds is limited, which means prices are likely to dip again in the first half of next year," said the body's Hetal Mehta.

The Item Club is the latest commentator to argue that recent upturn in prices reflects an unusual position in the market that is unlikely to last.

It says points out that many homeowners are either trapped in negative equity or reluctant to sell for fear of having to absorb the losses of the past two years.

The sharp downturn in prices that started in 2007 seems to have come to an end this year, though whether or not prices are actually rising again is a matter of debate.

The Nationwide building society has said that UK house prices are £7,000 higher than the start of the year, while its big rival lender the Halifax says prices are in fact roughly the same.

The ITEM Club argued that as 56% of homeowners have a mortgage, any sustained recovery would have to be underpinned by a recovery in mortgage lending.

However banks were still being restrictive about the amount of money they were lending.

"The scarcity of mortgage supply and tough lending criteria is making it particularly difficult for first time buyers to enter the market," the Item Club said.

"Given that they typically purchase cheaper properties, this will have significant implications for those looking to trade up, clogging up the market and limiting the number of transactions taking place," it added

And it warned that the threat of unemployment was also likely to cause people to delay making big financial decisions, such as buying a house.

BBC News

 
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